High Heeled Traders

Sweet Spot for Your Money

September 17, 2014

Jumped back in to the stockmarket after a long weekend of holidays. It’s a hard job to wait when you are excited and refreshed and ready for action. That’s what I felt last Monday when the market opened. There was a little move up so I thought it was a signal of continuing uptrend in the markets. But after 10 or so minutes that the poor economic data was released, stocks moved down lower. I was in there wanting to go “bargain-hunting”, fortunately, I stopped myself and waited a bit since I saw the volatility was more evident and (moves up 2 points, goes down 3, moves up 5 then down 10) and market seemingly lacked direction. Like that data on manufacturing was unimportant. (The important thing is it is not glaringly Up or Down)

What happened soon after though was a steep fall when the OECD reported the falling GDP projections all over the world. And so the NASDAQ stocks which moved up strongly bled red red red for the whole night. I thought I got in at a bargain with price declined at 1.22 then went to bed only to find that my stock went as far down as 5% before recovering around 4%.
FOMC meeting started yesterday so I was looking at more data points and with other markets specifically EU performing poorly, even risking bleaker economy if not for the gov’t stimulus – the question to always remember asking is “where else could be sweet spot for your money?”

So there I was sitting still watching the opening prices fall another $1,,, when just as soon, the prices started moving up, cent by cent but fast and steady. When it finally recovered back to yesterday’s closing price, I knew there is nowhere else to go but up for that day. I again sat myself down, and watched the price action, just in case the market changes course once again, I am ready with my risk management stops.

FOMC meeting concludes today and looking at data that is neither hot nor cold, I expect no change in the current “sweet spot” of steady interest rates.

Calpers
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-16/calpers-pulls-all-4-billion-in-hedge-funds-citing-costs.html

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LIVE trading demo went well, the pre-market open was very reassuring and I have good profit in 30 minutes to show you guys last night! (What a relief! 🙂 The slides can be accessed as a PDF file here
OR slides / pictures in here.

I’m so happy with my decision last night to EXIT shortly after 10am (in the US), which is my Time Exit. 10am is the time of release for last critical economic data (ISM Non-Manufacturing) last night. There are of course other considerations but pocketing profit, executing your plan in a timely manner is a critical component of this business. And I discuss developing a profitable system with focus on profit-taking exits that is right for you in Low-Risk High-Reward Investing Workshop, so don’t miss that event happening on Sept 20 at SMX SM Aura.

Here is the link to register or copy and paste http://www.iluvlearning.com/low-risk-high-reward-stock-investing/

This is likely to be my LAST workshop for this year on this critical knowledge area, so join us and get the income you want and deserve. There are so many more ways you can invest apart from “long-term investing” where you do not get to see concrete returns. I’d be honoured to help you learn the mastery topics so that you get the results and income you want at the soonest possible time without the pain! Paying “tuition fee” for mistakes and not learning the knowledge that actually work is not a smart way of doing business. You’ve come this far in your investing journey, you owe it to yourself to invest in yourself to do the right thing. So join my learning events – I even provide samples of systems and business procedures that deliver the most profits with lowest risks so you can tweak them and create what is RIGHT FOR YOU and execute correctly. Remember TIME IS MONEY…

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Would you like to see how I make my trades – watch and listen as I prepare for a trading session and especially how I make my decisions. See how I execute
— Warren Buffett’s Investing Principle
— entry,
— assigning the stop level,
— the all important profit-taking exits

I’ve never done this before and don’t intend to do this often due to the private nature of my account. Nevertheless, I am excited to share this with you – committed investors! No recording available but will send you the major points in slides so register and join us in this rare webinar!

Register here :
https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/4848062687566565121

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What’s Cool About Cool?

August 29, 2014

I was grumpy… 2x today, yes, I did lose my cool a little bit. I was told by “customer service” people that they can’t help me, sooooooo the “I’m giving you the business part” of me had to make an appearance especially when you are sitting there doing nothing. I see one benefit though – I was able to let my “figher” part do its job to protect me. And keep my cool in my trading. I needed it then (and especially then when there is nobody to fight with hehehe)

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-29/stocks-in-summer-slumber-as-vix-tumbles-most-since-2012.html

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Recording of the webinar didn’t show the slides properly so after having tried to re-record the webinar and uploading the audio, I have no choice for lack of time, to send them as slides. The content is the same (audio missing is my commentary but still, the main points are here) so please get them here!

For copies of the slides,
Like us on Facebook at this link or copy and paste
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.745924348790287.1073741826.137286472987414&type=1

If you want the PDF file of the slides pls go to this Facebook Group for High Heeled Traders
https://www.facebook.com/groups/441760275847336/

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Trade-Sleep-Trade

August 27, 2014

This month of August was my “active transition month” in which I was committed to trade in the US market (everyday!) and achieve my 30% return per month. Yes, crazy figures, but I thought I’d start somewhere!

Today, (not yet end of the month by the way) I had done some quick calculations and very pleased to report I achieved a little over 10%, which is my usual target, but happy just the same because the situation is different from what I have been doing for years.

I started trying to stay up all night but by 11pm I am already sleepy (and even hungrier LOL)
But then again, I was intent on actively trading the US market so I began to really pay attention to the activity on the stock in the first hour, I mentioned in this blog my shortlist of stocks and I am focusing on (Facebook) which made well enough (between around 50c low-high range at a minimum per day) which gives me enough opportunity to be in and out quickly, in one hour if I choose, and tolerate risk if ever I was “sleeping on the job”. (I also like AAPL moves by the way but the price is higher).

OK so the stage is set — I got a good stock to trade and I only aimed to trade at the opening hour, sleep, then wake up 30min before close.

Now I wish I can tell you that my trade/s each day was profitable. No.
Or I have knowledge of the price pattern, at Open the price is set low, then reverses after 30 minutes. No.
Or, following good economic data, the stock keeps moving onward and upward. No.
The name of the game is position-sizing. If you position correctly, even if you have losing trades, you would still meet your objectives and achieve your profit goals.

This is the best month for profitable trading that I ever had, in that I exceeded past performance and was very relaxed. I was even asleep. 🙂

Do you want to see how I plan and execute my highly profitable trading systems? Wondering how you can be fully in control of your money and achieve above-average returns? Attend my
Low Risk High Reward Investing workshop happening on Sept 20 at SMX Convention Center SM Aura, Manila.
Follow the link above and use the coupon code “HHT” to avail of the Early Bird Rate of 2000pesos up to September 1, 2014.
For all who registered for the “Increase Investing Profits without the Stress” webinar, you will get an email from me with the slides of the webinar as the recording doesn’t show the slides properly. Or click on this link for download options. ALL THE BEST!

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BHP declined in early trade after reporting about the spinoff to a new company of its mining assets not part of its 5-core assets. This despite its 23.2% profit for the year. It seems a few investors moved the market early and may I say, short-sightedly. Rio raising its dividend and some share buyback programs created expectations and well, it just didn’t happen. The way I see it, it’s a good thing that the spinoff is happening after all 97% of its revenues are from those 5 core assets. I think the selloff is an over-reaction and UK investors disappointed since the new company lists in Australia and South Africa – not anymore in the UK. (So if you are not from the UK this is not a problem, right?!)

Nevertheless, there is that very real achievement that the company had produced a bumper profit from out of the weak iron ore prices this year. Anyway, in Australian session, the volumes in the trade shows more buyers than sellers and the price has since reversed from the opening low of 37.83.

I’m dismissing the drama and holding on given that my stops are not yet breached, it’s not the best feeling to see profit evaporate, but I am keeping cool seeing that the dividends have been increased and paying out in a few weeks time.

Here’s some more insights in this article.

In other news, this week I got wind of some new investments by legendary traders and investors. It is very interesting to see where they are going in and going out, and while I have a strong belief on what they invest on would be winners, there could still be investments that don’t turn out well as Warren Buffett also admit in his yearly letter to shareholders. Nevertheless, I am piggybacking on some of their investments while maintaining my protective stops.

My Personal Favorites:

George Soros increased his holdings of YPF SA (YPF), the Argentine oil explorer, while adding to his stakes in American International Group Inc.(AIG) and Facebook Inc.(FB).

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) bought additional shares of Verizon Communications Inc.(VZ) and Liberty Global PLC(LBTYA)

Others I am less keen on but you might be interested in are some biotech sector holdings, financial companies and commodities:

Paulson & Co. bought DirecTV (DTV), Ally Financial Inc.(ALLY), Allergan Inc.(AGN), Dollar General Corp.(DG) and Family Dollar Stores Inc.(FDO), while souring on U.S. car makers.

Funds controlled by Carl Icahn took about a 7% stake in Gannett Co. (GCI), and Icahn said in a statement that value could be created by splitting up the company.

Leon Cooperman’s Omega Advisors piled into Apple Inc. (AAPL) and KKR & Co. (KKR.AE)

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Happy Stocks

August 19, 2014

There has been a lot of see-sawing in the stockmarkets, most of it due to the geopolitical tensions, with Russia-Ukraine and the tit-for-tat embargoes, then Iraq making things a bit more exciting in the markets. Then there’s also the talk of stocks having been overvalued / overbought and the US markets *which is the mother of all markets, still not having a correction for more than 2 years.
But here’s the question, why oh why? Why is it that for every slide, there is a bounce just as strong?
I’ve posted in this blog last summer, remember, we’ve got to keep the cash working.
And the magical question is, if you get out of your current stock that is performing, where do you put it?

Will cash products give you the return you want? Measly 4% a year (in the highest interest rate country – Australia), who can live on that?
Will gold be it – with slow growth especially outside the US (EU, China) and geopolitical tensions it is getting attention but is the risk worth it with interest rates on the horizon.
Will oil make a good investment? Increased supply is weakening prices although it remains in the high 90’s and is not really cheap.
What sectors in the stock market can still go higher if they haven’t done so already?

I think this article pointing out the slow growth expected in Australia is giving us a lesson in Central Banking 101 — interest rates are going to stay low, maybe for a longer period than expected.

So my current strategy is to stay in my strong stocks, no hedge (meaning I am not protecting on the downside), keep a wide stop, and buy on dips. This bull market may be getting a little tired but there’s money to be made on the upside.

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Can’t sleep well? Nervous when stock markets are down?

Investing in stocks is full of stress, affecting our profits, even driving losses to get bigger. In this webinar, I will be sharing how I increased investment profits as well as capital without stressing myself.

“Investment Psychology” is a rarely-talked about topic in stockmarket discussions. Even with a bull-market, majority of investors fail to make stellar profits because their investing psychology is weak.

UPDATE – POST-WEBINAR

For copies of the slides,
Like us on Facebook at this link or copy and paste
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.745924348790287.1073741826.137286472987414&type=1

If you want the PDF file pls go to this Facebook Group for High Heeled Traders
https://www.facebook.com/groups/441760275847336/

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BHP Reports tomorrow and there is a big possibility that it makes a big move — up or down.

In my previous life, my main concern is to protect the profit I already have, I was “new” to BHP so I thought that I need to learn how it moves first and price rises in the stock I held previously (admittedly not of the same league as BHP) is immediately followed by a reversal so the fear factor is there – so following that big jump last week due to the company news of BHP asset sale — I am again having that “take the quick profit” thought. The good thing about having done so is that I took my profits and felt secure. The bad thing about it is that I took my profits and mouth gaped open at the phenomenal rise that continued! Now I’m not predicting it will march upward from here but I want to share that I am now aware of 2 things.
1. My risk tolerance has gone higher — that’s because I’ve enjoyed my profits. (It’s not too shabby after all!) That’s a different mindset to be in versus not being sure you are going to make money or not, or if you are suffering losses, you’d rather take the sure profit and won’t want to risk anymore (except if you have some strong gambling tendencies! But, that’s another post.) So it means, you have gone through the process of maturing.
2. My assessment of the potential move is more accurate — in having that year or so of having BHP I was able to get more insight into the kind of moves that it does, how volatile it is, market influences etc. Studying a stock moving on a watchlist is one thing, having your money on it is another.

So on to BHP’s report tomorrow, I am putting a position for an up move to add to my other long positions (that are already profitable and will be left open) on the following basis.
1. Operational Production – report indicated strong production
2. Low PE ratios – It’s 14.29 and still below the S&P average, below 17 means it is still inexpensive
3. Geopolitical tensions increase oil prices *one of its core assets
4. Dividend payment following the report leads investors to hold the shares and make less shares available for sale.

There is a possibility that it will increase its dividend like Rio Tinto which is the number 2 mining company…
so let’s see what tomorrow brings. Don’t get nervous, don’t get too excited. Just be happy and act according to your overall business plan.

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